Discussion Section 7 (Chapter 12) Notes

Econ 102 Discussion Section 7 (Chapter 12)   The Consumption Function The consumption function is an equation describing how a household’s level of consumption varies with its disposable income. In order to fully understand the consumption function, we need to understand a few ideas about household income and how they choose to use that income. A household’s disposable income is their income after net taxes 𝐷𝑖𝑠𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒  𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 =   𝑌! = 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 − (𝑇𝑎𝑥𝑒𝑠 − 𝑇𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑠𝑓𝑒𝑟  𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠) Out of each additional dollar a household earns, they can choose to either save or consume it. The fraction of each dollar that a household chooses to consume is referred to as the marginal propensity to consume. The fraction of each dollar that a household chooses to save is the marginal propensity to save. Change  in  consumption ∆C 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙  𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑦  𝑡𝑜  𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑒 = MPC =   =   Change  in  desposable  income ∆Y! Δ𝑆 𝑀𝑎𝑔𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙  𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑦  𝑡𝑜  𝑆𝑎𝑣𝑒 = 𝑀𝑃𝑆 =   Δ𝑌! Example 1. Given the following consumption schedule, Consumption Disposable Income $600 $1,000 $900 $1,500 $1200 $2,000 What is the marginal propensity to consume? For simplicity, assume that taxes are lump sum, i.e. tax is constant regardless of income earned, or earned in addition, this means that out of each additional dollar earned, you must either spend or save the entire dollar. As a result the MPC and MPS must always add up to equal 1. (National income) 𝑌 =𝐶+𝑆+𝑇 ∆Y = ∆C + ∆S + ∆T (Assume ∆T = 0) ∆Y = ∆C + ∆S (Divide both sides by ∆Y) 1 = 𝑀𝑃𝐶 + 𝑀𝑃𝑆 What happens when your disposable income is zero? You must still consume in order to survive (food, clothes, etc.). This amount that you consume when your income is zero is called autonomous consumption. With this, we are ready to derive the consumption function: Consumption function: 𝐶 = 𝐶!"#$ + 𝑀𝑃𝐶 ∙ 𝑌! Example 2. When David has no income, he spends $500. If his income increases to $2000, he spends $1900. What is his consumption function?   The Aggregate Expenditure Model The aggregate expenditure (or income-expenditure) model is a macroeconomic model that focuses on the relationship between total spending and real GDP, assuming the price level is constant. To fully investigate this model we first need to define the aggregate expenditure function. Aggregate expenditure:  𝐴𝐸 = 𝐶 + 𝐼!"#$$%& + 𝐺 + 𝑁𝑋 AE = 𝐶!"#$ + 𝑀𝑃𝐶 ∙ 𝑌! + 𝐼!"#$$%& + 𝐺 + 𝑁𝑋 = 𝐴𝐸!"#$ + 𝑀𝑃𝐶 ∙ 𝑌! Remember when dealing with this formula that C here is referring to the consumption function. Also of note is a new term, 𝐼!"#$$%& , which in this model refers to planned investment. Planned investment refers to the investment spending businesses intend to carry out in a given time period. In this chapter it is given, but in general (and as we will see in later chapters), it is a function if the interest rate, r. Missing in this equation is unplanned investment, which refers to unplanned changes to inventories firms make during a given time period. Actual investment spending, then, is the sum of these two 𝐴𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑎𝑙  𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 =   𝐼!"#$$%& +   𝐼!"#$%""&' Now if we add unplanned investment to our equation for aggregate expenditure we get: 𝐴𝐸 +   𝐼!"#$%""&' = 𝐶 + 𝐼!"#$$%& + 𝐼!"#$%""&' + 𝐺 + 𝑁𝑋 = 𝐺𝐷𝑃 Aggregate Expenditure Model Equilibrium In the previous section we described how aggregate expenditures plus unplanned investment equals GDP. What are the implications of this for the economy? For instance, if aggregate expenditures are larger than GDP, this means that unplanned inventories must be negative in order for this formula to hold. However, if this is true, that means that there are unexpected decreases in inventories. How are firms going to respond to this? By increasing production to meet this demand for expenditures, by producing more goods though, this leads to an increase in GDP, which in turn leads to a decrease in GDP. We can summarize the logic as follows: o When AE < 𝐺𝐷𝑃, inventories will ↑ and GDP and total employment will ↓ o When AE > 𝐺𝐷𝑃, inventories will ↓ and GDP and total employment will ↑ Therefore, the only time when GDP is not changing is when aggregate expenditures are equal to GDP. This is what we call the macroeconomic equilibrium of this model: Macroeconomic equilibrium: 𝐺𝐷𝑃 = 𝐴𝐸   We can illustrate these ideas graphically. If we place the function AE = Y on the graph containing the aggregate expenditures function, it represents all of the possible equilibrium points in the economy. The macroeconomic equilibrium is thus the point where the aggregate expenditures function intersects with this line, often referred to as the 45° line. Note however that the macroeconomic equilibrium here does not correspond to the economy being at full employment. In fact, it is possible for the economy to be in equilibrium, but be below full employment GDP, in which case we are in a recession, or above full employment GDP, in which case we are in a boom. In these cases we cannot get to full employment by moving along the current aggregate expenditures line. Instead we have to shift the aggregate expenditures function. The Multiplier and Shifting the Aggregate Expenditures Function The multiplier effect describes how changes in autonomous expenditures lead to changes in real GDP. This is best illustrated with an example: In general, the multiplier can be described with the following formula: Δ𝑌 1 𝑀𝑢𝑙𝑡𝑖𝑝𝑙𝑖𝑒𝑟 =   = Δ𝐴𝐸!"#$ 1 − 𝑀𝑃𝐶 Tutorial: Determining how spending needs to change to reach full employment GDP Step 1: Determine the MPC (if applicable) You may not always be given the MPC to use for the multiplier. If not use the information in the question to determine the MPC Step 2: Determine Δ𝑌 The change in GDP in these questions can be defined as follows: Δ𝑌 = 𝑌!" − 𝑌! Where 𝑌! is equilibrium GDP Step 3: Solve for Δ𝐴𝐸!"#$ Example 3: Using the table below, answer questions A – D (the numbers are in billions): Planned Government Real GDP ($) Consumption ($) Net Exports ($) Investment ($) Purchases ($) 4000 3500 350 450 -100 5000 4300 350 450 -100 6000 5100 350 450 -100 7000 5900 350 450 -100 A) What is the equilibrium level of real GDP? B) What is the MPC? C) If potential GDP is $7000 billion, is the economy at full employment? If not, what is the condition of the economy? D) If the economy is not at full employment, by how much should government spending increase so that the economy can move to the full employment level of GDP?   Practice Questions 1. On the 45-degree line diagram, for points that lie above 45-degree line, a) planned aggregate expenditure is greater than GDP. b) planned aggregate expenditure is equal to GDP. c) planned aggregate expenditure is less than GDP. d) planned aggregate expenditure is less than aggregate income. 2. How does a decrease in government spending affect the aggregate expenditure line? a) It shifts the aggregate expenditure line downward. b) It increases the slope of the aggregate expenditure line. c) It shifts the aggregate expenditure line upward. d) It decreases the slope of the aggregate expenditure line. 3. (Refer to the image to the left). Suppose that the level of GDP associated with point N is potential GDP. If the U.S. economy is currently at point K, a) Firms are operating above capacity. b) The economy is at full employment. c) The economy is in recession. d) The level of unemployment is equal to the natural rate. Use the following information to answer the next seven questions: * When 𝑌! = 0, C = 400 * When 𝑌! = 1000, C = 1000 * Iplanned = 250 * G = 350 4. What is autonomous consumption in this model? a) 350 b) 250 c) 1000 d) 400 5. What is autonomous expenditure in this model? a) 350 b) 250 c) 1000 d) 400 6. What is the MPC? a) 0.6 b) 0.4 c) 0.8 d) 1 7. What is the consumption function? a) C = 1000 + 0.6𝑌! b) C = 400 + 0.4𝑌! c) C = 350 + 0.6𝑌! d) C = 400 + 0.6𝑌! 8. What is the aggregate expenditure function? a) C = 1000 + 0.6𝑌! b) C = 400 + 0.4𝑌! c) C = 350 + 0.6𝑌! d) C = 400 + 0.6𝑌!   9. Suppose potential GDP is 4000. Is this market operating at full employment? a) Yes, the market is at full employment b) No, the market is in recession c) No, the market is in expansion d) Not enough information 10. If the government wanted to reach full employment, how much would it need to spend to achieve this goal? a) 0 b) -450 c) 600 d) 1500 11. If the MPC is 0.95, then a $10 million increase in disposable income will a) increase consumption by $200 million. b) increase consumption by $9.5 million. c) increase consumption by $105 million. d) decrease consumption by $950 million. 12. If an increase in autonomous expenditure of $10 million results in a $50 million increase in equilibrium real GDP, then the MPC is: a) 0.5 b) 0.75 c) 0.8 d) 0.9 13. If the consumption function is defined as C = 5500 + 0.9Y, what is the value of the multiplier? a) 0.1 b) 0.9 c) 9 d) 10     Answer: 1. a) 2. a) 8. a) 9. b) 3. c) 4. d) 5. c) 6. a) 7. d) 10. c) 11. b) 12. c) 13. d)