Daewoo Case Notes

US Review US Role of government Ideology Financial System Industrial relations Business organization Education system Who drives the system Strengths / weaknesses Indirect/regulatory Laissez-faire Capital Market based Fragmented / weak unions Weak Business Associations / lobbies Bi-polar (top univ. vs weak public schools) Firms Flexibility, entrepreneurs / weak coordination (across companies, gov. vs firms) Korea - Government role is impressive. State led developmental model. Similar to other Asian countries and also France. After Korean war GDP was below Brazil, Mexico, India. Incredibly fast growth after that targeting certain successful industries. Good social welfare and educational system. How did Korea do this? Is this model sustainable? Government role 1- Plans: a. 1960’s: infrastructure and simple industries: plywood and cotton spinning (light industries). Later on garments and shoes. b. 1970’s: promotion of heavy industry (steel, chemicals, autos) c. 1980’s: High Tech (ships, electronics) d. 1990’s: continue in high tech. - - Discipline: Government played an important role in discipline of the workforce (organized labor) and firms (performance based credit assignment, mainly on exports) Subsidized credit: borrowed from abroad and used control of financial system to promote its plans. Wrong Prices: • Protectionism for its market (i.e. steel) • Subsidies • Import restrictions: not ISI, but as a way to develop local industries. Technology: used market access to extract licenses from multinationals. - Education: huge investment in primary / secondary schools. 95% enrollment (1994). 20% higher education. Vocational training promoted. 1980’s huge investment in engineering and science. People sent abroad and bring back knowledge to Korea. Other actors / factors - Chaebols: conglomerates of firms, similar to Japanese model. Government played role in forming this groups. Strategy: form powerful groups to be able to compete. Cold war: US played some role in helping this development. Given that this model appeared to work, what happened after July 1997? Was there a collapse? If yes, why did the system collapse? Is it sustainable? - Reform pushed by IMF / Government. Bankruptcies in different sectors. Job guarantee no longer exists. Daewoo Case – What happened to this Chaebol? - Highly leveraged. D/E of four. Growing and grabbing cheap deals in order to increase size and power. Incentive of system is for market share. Decision to go into auto industry may have been a problem. Industry - New entrants: difficult due to size of conglomerates. Buyers: recession, devaluation so it is hard to sell. Principal markets are other developing countries also in trouble Substitutes: not a problem Suppliers: captive Porter’s Diamond Industry problems exacerbated by national system and set incentives. - Demand: suppressed at country level. High overcapacity Factors: skewed cost of capital in the system. Government intervention. Related industries: no power vs. the Chaebols Structure: Chaebol is key to understanding the complicated system. Big players lock up new markets. Should the government pull the plug on Daewoo? 4 I’s - Issue: bankruptcy or nationalization? Interest: government, suppliers, financial communities. Which do we take into consideration? Institutions: not only the firm, but relationship with other players and actors. Inform: what information do we want? Going forward, how does it use the information to show it was a good gamble? Korea Role of government Ideology Financial System Industrial relations Business organization Education system Who drives the system Strengths / weaknesses Direct / Interventionist Developmental Credit based Docile at first, now Militant Strong Chaebols Strong Firms Coordination / Transparency, flexibility