Weather. Summary Notes

Geography 103 - Weather Summary notes. Seasons, Heat and Temperature, Global Warming Seasons The earth’s axis is inclined at 23 ½ º relative to the plane of the earth’s orbit around the sun. It is this tilt that is responsible for the earth’s seasons. (No tilt, no seasons.) The earth spins on its axis once every 24 hrs. The earth revolves in an elliptical orbit around the sun every 365 ¼ days. Earth-sun distance = 150 million km = 1.5 x 1011m. Small difference in distance between earth and sun between Jan and July does NOT produce seasons or play a significant role in producing temperature variations. Seasonal temperature changes are due to: 1. angle of noon sun on any given day only places along a particular latitude will receive overhead (90º) sun. As we move N or S from this location the sun’s rays strike at an ever-decreasing angle. The more oblique the angle, the less intense the light. At summer solstice (June 21) the sun is overhead at 23 ½ ºN (tropic of cancer) At winter solstice (Dec 21) sun is overhead at 23 ½ ºS (tropic of capricorn) At equinoxes (March 21, Sept 22) sun is overhead at equator. Can calculate angle of noon sun. Secondary effect of angle of sun is that when the angle is more oblique the sunlight has to travel through a thicker layer of the earth’s atmosphere, which reduces its intensity. 2. length of daylight determined by position of earth in its orbit around the sun. Need to compare fraction of line of latitude which is in daylight to that in dark to find # hours daylight vs # hours dark. Equator always has 12 hrs day, 12 hrs night At equinoxes everywhere has 12 hrs day, 12 hrs night At June solstice everywhere in NH has more than 12hrs day, less than 12 hrs night, # daylight hrs increases as you go N, everywhere N of 66 ½ ºN has 24 hrs daylight. Opposite is true in SH. (everywhere has less than 12hrs day, more than 12 hrs night, # daylight hrs decreases as you go S, everywhere S of 66 ½ ºS has 24 hrs night.) At December solstice conditions are reversed for the two hemispheres over June solstice. Combination of 2 factors is solar insolation (= amount of sunlight reaching top of atmosphere per day). Energy, heat and temperature difference between heat (total kinetic energy) and temperature (average speed of molecules) warm air less dense, cold air is more dense air will rise (or sink) until it has the same temperature (and density) as surrounding air temperature scales – Fahrenheit, Centigrade, Kelvin (conversions between these) specific heat – definition – amount of heat required to raise the temperature of unit mass of a substance by 1ºC water – 1 calorie per gm per degree soil – one fifth of this (0.2 cal/g ºC) air – one quarter (0.24 cal/g ºC) means that it takes a lot more energy to change the temperature of water than land so oceans undergo much less daily and seasonal variation in temperature than land difference in specific heat of water and soil is primary reason that ocean air stays cooler in summer and moderates the climate of coastal cities latent heat – heat required to change the phase of a substance without changing its temperature latent heat of melting (heat required to melt water) latent heat of evaporation (heat required to evaporate water into vapor) latent heat of condensation (heat released by condensing water) – provides heat to air when water condenses in clouds. This heat causes air to rise and provides energy to drive thunderstorms. Also important as form of energy transport in moving surplus energy from tropics to high latitudes. latent heat of freezing (heat released by freezing water into ice) sensible heat – heat we feel and can measure with a thermometer Heat balance There is a net surplus of radiation energy reaching tropical regions (up to ~ 36º latitude) over the year and a net deficit at high latitudes. But for the earth as a whole incoming energy = outgoing energy. Therefore energy must be transferred from tropics poleward. 3 mechanisms of heat transfer – by winds (cyclones, anticyclones) by ocean currents (tend to follow same general patterns as winds) by latent heat (water vapor evaporates at tropics and is carried to high latitudes, where it condenses) Temperature global pattern of air temperatures – all places at same latitude receive same amount of sun, but can have vastly different temperatures. Local temperature is also controlled by: 1. land and water heating 2. ocean currents 3. altitude 4. geographic position 5. cloud cover map of temperature patterns on average, temperature decreases from tropics to pole. 1. effect of land and water isotherms do not run straight across, they bend around continents – in winter temperatures are a lot lower in middle of continent than on W coast in summer temperatures are a lot higher in middle of continent than on W coast Why? Because land heats more rapidly and to higher temperatures than water, and cools more rapidly and to lower temperatures than water, so temperature variations over land are very much greater than over water. Winds are from the west, so west coast has strong ocean influence (maritime climate). The middle of continents and E coast are not influenced much by the ocean (continental climate). Why are temperature changes much smaller over ocean? 1. specific heat of water is high compared to land 2. water is highly mobile (shares its heat over large volume) 3. water is more transparent (shares its heat over large volume) 4. evaporation greater over water (some heat goes into latent heat) Compare annual temperature variations of coastal and inland cities 2. ocean currents: locations on coast have temperatures moderated by ocean influence 3. altitude temperature drops an average of 6.5 ºC per km as you go up in altitude 4. geographic position direction of prevailing wind is important 5. cloud cover clouds keep Earth cool during the day because they reflect incoming sunlight clouds keep Earth warm at night because they trap the outgoing infrared radiation from the Earth Global Warming Greenhouse effect = increase in earth’s surface temperature due to absorption of the earth’s outgoing infrared radiation by atmospheric gases principal greenhouse gases – water vapor, carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, ozone, CFCs Concern is over increasing levels of CO2 since industrialization. CO2 has risen by 30% in last hundred years (from roughly 280 ppm to about 365 ppm now) Surface temperatures have increased by about 0.8°C over the past century. Calculating the predicted degree of warming is a complex problem. There are many feedback factors: negative feedbacks (these partially offset the warming): increased cooling of the earth through radiating more energy (blackbody cooling) increased cloud cover – clouds reflect incoming sunlight positive feedbacks (these increase the warming even further): more water vapor evaporates and water is a greenhouse gas ice caps melt – so that less of sun’s visible radiation is reflected by them more clouds – these absorb IR radiation Other factors to consider: Clouds can decrease temperatures by reflecting more sunlight and increase temperatures by absorbing and emitting more IR radiation. (Low clouds have a net cooling effect. High clouds have a net warming effect.) Aircraft can also affect the numbers of cirrus clouds via contrails. people are emitting more pollution (particles/aerosols) - these aerosols cool by scattering incoming sunlight back out (sulfate aerosol concentrations have increased a lot in the past century). There are also natural sources of aerosols like volcanic emissions that affect climate. the ocean is the major sink for carbon dioxide, so much of the increase in atmospheric CO2 may be absorbed by the ocean if the global temperature rises what will the biological effects be? if the ice caps start to melt, how much will the ocean levels rise? temperature changes will not be uniform everywhere, some places may experience warmer weather and some cooler, some may experience droughts and others flooding. Modelling the effect of increasing CO2 concentrations requires complex atmospheric, oceanic and biological models coupled together. Different models come up with different results. That is partly why there is so much disagreement over what steps to take. Also finding a solution (alternative fuels, reducing emissions) is very costly and nations are not all willing to share this cost. Models predict a change of 4 - 6 ºC for a medium emissions scenario by the end of this century but the actual temperature change will vary geographically. Higher latitudes will experience a greater warming than lower latitudes. There will be changes in precipitation also. The equatorial region and high latitudes will get wetter. The subtropics are likely to become drier. (Wet regions become wetter and dry regions becoming drier.) Detecting global change is a complex problem. Involves measuring changes in – average global surface and atmospheric temperatures sea level height glacial extent extent of sea ice sea temperatures cloud cover and height atmospheric water vapor concentration incoming and outgoing radiation For many of these (surface temperature in particular) we are looking for a very small signal (change) in something with large variability. Global average temperature increase over past century is about ~0.8 ºC. Measures to take: reduce emissions of GH gases (even if CO2 emissions were frozen at today’s level the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere would continue to increase because it is emitted at a greater rate than it is being absorbed) many ways to reduce GH gas emissions – renewable fuels, improved fuel efficiency, etc.