INMS 610 Final Paper Notional Outline

INMS 610 ASSIGNMENT 4 Main Thesis: Design a multi-intelligence collection plan against the targets defined in the scenario for analysts who are producing a comprehensive, multi-discipline intelligence assessments for senior leaders and operational commanders. Note: This is a force protection mission and requires a full court press with USCENTCOM being the supported command. They will require augmented support from NSA, NGA, DIA, and CIA. The Marines, Army soldiers and Air Force Airman require unmanned and manned airborne ISR support to stay safe. Executive Summary/Abstract: one pager that reflects the primary points of your paper 1. Description of the collection scenario. 2. Priority intelligence requirements. 3. Associated risks. 4. Timeline. Introduction  Brief background on issue, withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021  State thesis: design a multi-INT collection plan against the targets defined in the scenario for analysts who are producing a comprehensive, multi-discipline intelligence assessments for senior leaders and operational commanders’ to support the final withdrawal of U.S. forces from Afghanistan. o This is support for a very rapid force protection mission where troops were in harm’s way needed timely threat warning and situational awareness of what was occurring around them.  Recommended Sources: o https://www.justsecurity.org/77801/cias-former-counterterrorism-chief-for-theregion-afghanistan-not-an-intelligence-failure-something-much-worse/ o https://www.lawfareblog.com/afghanistan-policy-choices-and-claimsintelligence-failure o https://thehill.com/opinion/national-security/569499-why-americanintelligence-failed-in-afghanistan-and-elsewhere/ o https://www.wsj.com/articles/four-u-s-intelligence-agencies-producedextensive-reports-on-afghanistan-but-all-failed-to-predict-kabuls-rapid-collapse11635415201 1. Collection Scenario Priority intelligence collection targets o Taliban (leaders and supporters) o Deconflict civilian evacuees o Counterterrorism o Counterintelligence 2. Priority Intelligence Requirements (PIRs) – collection strategy needs to supports the intelligence requirements.  Protection o Force of US military, Americans and refugees (?) o SIGINT, HUMINT and OSINT collection  Counterterrorism o https://www.cfr.org/report/countering-resurgent-terrorist-threat-afghanistan  Threat warning  Situational awareness). o how would intelligence collection be designed to address these operational priorities  https://www.justsecurity.org/77205/what-we-can-expect-in-afghanistan-fromus-intelligence-once-us-troops-are-gone/ 3. Associated Risks/Concerns with collection  Compressed timeline and loss of basing for airborne ISR and HUMINT collection  Loss of sharing with Afghan intelligence  Threat warning o for example when thirteen U.S. service members were killed and at least eighteen injured in an attack at a checkpoint outside the Kabul airport  Terrorist attacks  Reliability of Afghan intelligence o Are the Afghani military ready and willing to take over? https://www.justsecurity.org/77205/what-we-can-expect-in-afghanistan-from-usintelligence-once-us-troops-are-gone/ 4. TimeLine  Compressed timeline  Develop a timeline for the use of the assets that you identify in this plan and describe the communication and collaboration among collectors that is required for the success of the effort.  file:///C:/Users/bpowers12/Downloads/ATA-2021-Unclassified-Report%20(1).pdf  Troop locations  Distance from key locations - Loss of Bagram airbase  Limitations - Geographical limitations - When airport was taken over by Taliban  Collection methods - Discuss the different disciplines and how they can support troops in contact HUMINT, GEOINT, SIGINT/COMINT, MASINT, OSINT Conclusion  Key take aways o State of intelligence collection of Afghanistan today  https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/3114362/usdrone-strike-kills-al-qaida-leader-in-kabul/Counterterrorism priority o State of HUMINT collection –  https://www.cnn.com/2021/04/18/politics/afghanistan-withdrawal-ciaintelligence-network/index.html